2019년 제1호 태풍 파북 동경 100도를 넘고 태국 상륙하며 인도양 진출 직전!

말레이 반도에서 살아남아서 2019년1월5일까지 열대 폭풍(TS) 이상 세력 유지하면 인도양 사이클론으로 변신하겠네요.

태국 푸켓은 태풍 영향 정말정말 드문 곳인데 이번에 비바람 얄쨜없겠군요.ㄷㄷㄷ(게다가 지금은 건기죠. 우기 스콜은 아무 것도 아닌 비바람이 몰아치니 푸켓은 멘붕일거 같네요 ㄷㄷ)

허리케인의 태풍 변신과 달리 태풍의 인도양 진출은 엄청 드물다고 합니다.ㄷㄷ

인도양 진출할지는 1월5일까지 지켜봐야겠지만요.

 

T1901 (Pabuk) 
WTPQ20 RJTD 041200(2019.1.4. 오후9시) 
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY 
NAME TS 1901 PABUK (1901) 
ANALYSIS 
PSTN 041200UTC 08.2N 100.3E FAIR 
MOVE W 10KT(20km/h) 
PRES 996HPA 
MXWD 045KT(23m/s) 
GUST 065KT(33m/s) 
30KT 210NM NORTHWEST(북서쪽 반경 390km) 120NM SOUTHEAST(남동쪽 반경 220km) 
FORECAST 
24HF 051200UTC 09.0N 097.3E 50NM 70% 
MOVE WNW 07KT(15km/h) 
PRES 998HPA 
MXWD 040KT(23m/s) 
GUST 060KT(33m/s) 
48HF 061200UTC 11.3N 093.2E 110NM 70% 
MOVE WNW 12KT(20km/h) 
PRES 998HPA 
MXWD 040KT(21m/s) 
GUST 060KT(31m/s) 
72HF 071200UTC 13.7N 090.7E 130NM 70% 
MOVE NW 09KT(15km/h) 
PRES 1000HPA 
MXWD 035KT(18m/s) 
GUST 050KT(25m/s) = 
 

 

WTJP21 RJTD 041200 
WARNING 041200. 
WARNING VALID 051200. 
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS. 
GALE WARNING. 
TROPICAL STORM 1901 PABUK (1901) 996 HPA 
AT 08.2N 100.3E THAILAND MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS. 
POSITION FAIR. 
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. 
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 120 
MILES ELSEWHERE. 
FORECAST POSITION FOR 050000UTC AT 08.5N 098.7E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS 
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. 
FORECAST POSITION FOR 051200UTC AT 09.0N 097.3E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS 
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. 
FORECAST POSITION FOR 061200UTC AT 11.3N 093.2E WITH 110 MILES RADIUS 
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. 
FORECAST POSITION FOR 071200UTC AT 13.7N 090.7E WITH 130 MILES RADIUS 
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE. 
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER. 

THIS WILL BE THE FINAL ADVISORY FROM RSMC TOKYO ON THIS SYSTEM. THE 
NEXT BULLETIN WILL BE ISSUED BY RSMC NEW DELHI UNLESS RE-ENTRY OR 
SLOW-DOWN OCCURS. 

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.= 

Weather Warning 
"Tropical Storm “PABUK”" 
No. 18 Time Issued January 4, 2019 
At 12.45 p.m. on 4 January 2019, tropical storm “PABUK” has made landfall over Pak Phanang, Nakhon Si thammarat. At latitude 8.2 degree north, longitude 100.2 degree east. Maximum sustained wind is 75 km/hr. The storm was moving northwest at a speed of 18 km/hr. It is expected to downgrade to be tropical depression “PABUK” and It will prevail over Surat Thani soon. This will affect the South with widespread rainfalls, and torrential downpours are possible much of the area. People should beware of the severe conditions that cause forest runoffs and flash floods. Affected areas are as followings: 
4 January: Torrential downpours and strong winds much of provinces: Prachuap Khiri Khan, Chumphon, Surat Thani, Nakhon Si Thammarart, Phatthalung, Songkhla, Pattani, Yala, Narathiwat, Ranong, Phangnga, Phuket, Krabi, Trang and Satun. 

5 January: Torrential downpours and strong wind much of provinces: Phetchaburi, Prachuap Khiri Khan, Chumphon, Surat Thani, Nakhon Si Thammarart, Phatthalung, Ranong, Phangnga, Phuket, Krabi, Trang and Satun. 

The strong winds are forecast with waves up to 3-5 meters high in the Gulf and 2-3 meters high in the Andaman Sea. All ships keep ashore lasting 5 January 2019. People in the Gulf should be aware of inshore surges. 

The advisory is in effect on 4 January 2019 at 2.00 p.m. 



(Signed) Phuwieng Prakhammintara 

(Mr. Phuwieng Prakhammintara) 

Director-General 

Thai Meteorological Department 

 

마지막 전문은 태국 기상청 태풍정보 펌입니다.

2019년1월5일 오후9시에 태국 나콘시탐마랏에 상륙했고, 푸켓도 얄쨜없는 직접 영향권입니다 ㄷㄷㄷ